Premier League Run-In Tracker
The 2025/26 season is complete — this grid now shows every club's final run-in with the actual results. Prediction tools return when the 2026/27 fixtures are published.
Data correct as of
Fixture Difficulty
Each cell is shaded from light (easy) to dark (hard) using Elo ratings by default. You can switch to league position or venue points-per-game using the controls below.
How Predictions Work
Tap a cell to cycle through W/D/L. Switch to Score mode for exact scores. Linked fixtures resolve automatically (if Arsenal beat Chelsea, Chelsea lose to Arsenal). The table below updates live.
Season Forecast
Hit Simulate to run 50,000 Monte Carlo seasons in your browser. Your predictions are locked in; the rest are sampled using hot Elo ratings. The heatmap shows each team's probability of finishing in each position. Full methodology →
Keyboard Shortcuts
- Arrow keys Navigate the fixture grid
- Enter or Space Predict the selected cell (W/D/L cycle or open score modal)
- Ctrl+Z / ⌘Z Undo last action
Methodology
- Difficulty uses one signal at a time — opponent Elo rating by default, switchable to league position or venue-specific points-per-game with the Difficulty toggle.
- Data from SportMonks (fixtures, standings) and ClubElo (Elo ratings). Updated weekly.
- Predictions are stored locally in your browser and encoded into the URL for sharing.